🇯🇵 日本語版
Friday, October 9, 2026
Hibino's
Crypto Market Report
Data Source: Binance Public API + CoinPaprika + CoinGecko
Total Market Cap
$2.94T
▼ −0.9% (24H)
BTC Dominance 59.74%
ETH Dominance 10.94%
Active Coins 12,327
24H Volume $194.5B
Sentiment 😀 Greed (59)

Market Dominance

BTC
ETH
Others
BTC 59.74%
ETH 10.94%
XRP 3.16%
Others 26.16%

📊 Price Overview

CoinPrice1H24H7D30DToday's Status
BTCBitcoin $83,214 +0.8% +0.9% −2.0% +6.1% Rebounds after sharp dip ↗️
ETHEthereum $2,505.43 +0.5% −1.2% −7.4% +0.8% 7D −7.4%, soft ⬇️
BNBBNB $743.24 +0.2% −2.5% −3.7% −1.2% Slips below $750 ⬇️
XRPXRP $1.40 +1.1% +0.2% −6.2% −1.1% Slightly positive ↗️
SOLSolana $111.25 +1.4% −1.7% −6.1% +7.6% Back to $111 range ⬇️
TRXTRON $0.3332 +0.3% −0.7% −0.5% −1.6% Smallest 7D drop ⬇️
HYPEHyperliquid $86.14 +0.5% +0.9% −1.7% ─ Rebounds from prior drop ↗️
DOGEDogecoin $0.08498 +0.8% −2.5% −9.9% −5.6% Weakest on 7D (−9.9%) ⬇️
ADACardano $0.2399 +1.3% −3.9% −2.6% +9.3% Biggest drop among majors ⬇️
AVAXAvalanche $10.41 +0.9% −3.0% −5.2% +30.0% 30D +30% holds ⬇️

🔥 Top Movers & Highlights

ZEC
Zcash
$1,234.06
+2.1% (24H)
Only gainer among the three extra picks / rebounds from $1,207.12 the day before to the $1,230s
HYPE
Hyperliquid
$86.14
+0.9% (24H)
Rebounds from −3.5% the day before and holds the $85 support / one of three majors to rise
SUI
Sui
$1.07
−4.1% (24H)
Biggest drop among the three extra picks (NEAR also −4.1%) / 24H volume $109.8M
ADA
Cardano
$0.2399
−3.9% (24H)
Biggest drop among the 10 majors / 7D flips from +1.8% to −2.6%

💬 Market Voices

Yogita Khatri
Reporter, The Block
Bullish
Reported that JPMorgan’s team led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, in a report released Wednesday, October 7, estimates about $50 billion has flowed into digital assets so far this year. Annualized that is about $66 billion, above the $52 billion annualized pace in May but roughly half of last year’s. The estimate now also counts purchases by private corporate treasuries, private miners and government-related entities. In the first half the main sources were Strategy’s bitcoin purchases and venture funding; ETFs saw large outflows in May and June but have improved since August and are positive year to date, though still negative cumulatively since the October 10, 2025 crash. Institutional positioning in CME bitcoin and ether futures has risen over the past two months, with bitcoin above its previous peak. CTAs and similar funds have started rebuilding long exposure to BTC and ETH, while miners are net sellers of only about $1.8 billion this year. The report concludes that rising ETF flows and futures positioning in the third quarter are “creating a positive flow momentum into Q4.”
Mathew Di Salvo
Reporter, Bitcoin Magazine
Bearish
Reported that BTC slid to about $81,200 (down roughly 3% over 24 hours and about 4% over seven days), after dipping to about $80,922 during Thursday morning in New York. Brent crude kept climbing after renewed tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, and bitcoin sold off alongside other assets. President Trump has hinted that talks with Iran are not going as he would like. Fed Governor Waller said further rate hikes may be needed to contain inflation, while adding there is “flexibility” on the pace of increases. BTC remains more than 30% below its all-time high of $126,080 set in October 2025.
Hannah Collymore
Reporter, Cryptopolitan
Neutral
Reported that Japan’s Ministry of Finance held the first meeting of a study group on tokenizing government bonds on Thursday, October 8. The materials set out three ways to handle Japanese government bonds (JGBs) on a blockchain: transferring beneficiary interests in money market funds that invest in JGBs, moving the existing book-entry settlement ledger on-chain (with a single custodian, several, or the Bank of Japan’s books as options), and issuing a new type of bond directly on a blockchain outside the existing settlement infrastructure. Expected benefits are more efficient collateral and liquidity management and new demand from overseas investors; concerns include market fragmentation from splitting trading across venues, handling sudden price moves in 24-hour trading, and the cost of overhauling systems and operations. The article notes that each group is meant to invite opinions and debate rather than reach a settled decision, with a report planned around January 2027 after corporate hearings. As background it cites a record FY2027 budget request of ¥143 trillion and a 10-year yield that touched 2.95% in August, the highest since September 1996.
Jameson Lopp
Bitcoin security expert (via U.Today)
Neutral
Argued that the threat of AI breaking blockchain cryptography is overblown. The trigger was Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake and others saying ECDSA could be broken “in months, not years” by new models from Anthropic and OpenAI, and urging preparation for “bunker mode.” Lopp said “worrying about cryptographic breaks is getting ahead of ourselves” and that “theoretical future problems can wait,” arguing the realistic AI threat is not breaking the math but automatically hunting common bugs in application code and wallet firmware. He cited Google Threat Intelligence statistics showing monthly public software vulnerabilities have nearly doubled over the past year, and flaws like the Coldcard wallet seed-phrase generation weakness that AI can find in minutes versus weeks for a human. Vitalik Buterin also acknowledged the long-term risk but took the position that a premature response could be more dangerous than the threat itself. The article notes there is no record of an ECDSA key ever being broken.

📝 Today's Summary

↗️ BTC — Bitcoin

Rose to $83,214 (24H +0.9%) from about $82,488 24 hours earlier. The 7-day change widened from −1.2% the day before to −2.0%, and the 30-day gain widened from +4.4% to +6.1%. BTC sits about 34.0% below its all-time high ($126,080) and about 5.0% below its January 1 price of $87,570, and about 3.9% above $80,000. In US hours (early morning on October 9 in Japan) BTC fell sharply: Bitcoin Magazine reported a drop to about $80,922 and Cryptopolitan reported a temporary dip to $79,000, but it recovered to the $83,000s by Tokyo evening. The backdrop was Brent crude climbing to about $104 after renewed tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz (Cryptopolitan), President Trump hinting that talks with Iran are not going as he wants, and Fed Governor Waller saying more rate hikes may be needed (Bitcoin Magazine); US stocks also fell, with the Nasdaq down −1.2% and the S&P 500 down −0.6% (Cryptopolitan). US spot BTC ETFs recorded net outflows of $244.1 million on October 8, a second straight day of outflows after $484.9 million the day before, for about $729 million over the two days. By fund, Fidelity’s FBTC lost $197.1 million, ARKB $20.3 million, Bitwise’s BITB $17.7 million and Grayscale’s GBTC $8.2 million, while BlackRock’s IBIT shed only $5.5 million (HedgeCo.Net). Liquidations over 24 hours were $698.2 million in longs and $142.3 million in shorts across 158,431 events, with the largest single liquidation an ETHUSDT position of $11.9 million and 2 cascades, the largest at $601.2 million. On sentiment gauges, the retail euphoria index was 66 (EUPHORIA, from 69 the day before), Coinbase Premium was −0.08% for a 34th straight day below zero (from −0.06%), and VPIN was 0.14, the 60th percentile over 90 days (from 0.13 and the 44th percentile). In options, the Put/Call open-interest ratio was 0.58 (from 0.57) and DVOL 37.6 (from 36.7); the call wall stayed at $95,000 and the put wall at $80,000. Over 24 hours taker call volume of $21.8 million exceeded put volume of $12.2 million, and the largest trade was a purchase of BTC-26MAR27-80000-C with $2.8 million in premium.

⬇️ ETH — Ethereum

Fell to $2,505.43 (24H −1.2%) from about $2,536.37 24 hours earlier. The 7-day change widened from −5.5% to −7.4%, the second weakest of the 10 majors after DOGE, while the 30-day gain narrowed from +2.0% to +0.8%. ETH dominance slipped from 11.09% to 10.94%. US spot Ether ETFs lost about $72.5 million on October 8, an eighth straight day of outflows, bringing the total since September 29 to about $641.3 million (HedgeCo.Net).

⬇️ BNB — BNB

Fell to $743.24 (24H −2.5%) from about $762.06 24 hours earlier, slipping below $750. The drop is the fourth largest among the majors after ADA, AVAX and DOGE. The 7-day change widened from −0.8% to −3.7%, and the 30-day change turned negative at −1.2%, from +3.2%.

↗️ XRP — XRP

Edged up to $1.40 (24H +0.2%), roughly flat versus about $1.40 24 hours earlier. It is one of only three majors to rise, alongside BTC and HYPE. The 7-day change widened slightly from −6.0% to −6.2%, third weakest after DOGE and ETH, and the 30-day change turned negative at −1.1%, from +0.2%. XRP dominance was unchanged at 3.16%. Evernorth (XRPN), expected to hold about 473 million XRP, has had its Nasdaq trading debut pushed to October 12 after an administrative delay.

⬇️ SOL — Solana

Fell to $111.25 (24H −1.7%) from about $113.15 24 hours earlier. The 7-day change widened from −3.8% to −6.1%, fourth weakest after DOGE, ETH and XRP, while the 30-day gain narrowed from +9.5% to +7.6%. On Solana, Securitize launched tokenized US stocks on October 8, backed one-to-one by shares including Apple, Nvidia and Strategy (The Block). It follows the Samsung Wallet USDC transfer support announced the day before (rolling out in the last week of October), but SOL fell again over 24 hours.

⬇️ TRX — TRON

Fell to $0.3332 (24H −0.7%) from about $0.3356 24 hours earlier. After being the only major to rise the day before, it turned lower today. The 7-day decline narrowed from −0.6% to −0.5%, the smallest among the 10 majors, and the 30-day change turned negative at −1.6%, from +0.3%.

↗️ HYPE — Hyperliquid

Rose to $86.14 (24H +0.9%) from about $85.38 24 hours earlier, rebounding from −3.5% the day before (the biggest drop among the 10 majors) and holding the $85 support. The 7-day change narrowed from −5.4% to −1.7%. The 30-day figure remains unavailable. The all-time high of $98 is about 14% away.

⬇️ DOGE — Dogecoin

Fell to $0.08498 (24H −2.5%) from about $0.08714 24 hours earlier. The 7-day change widened from −7.5% to −9.9%, the weakest of the 10 majors, and the 30-day change worsened from −3.4% to −5.6%. Bitwise’s spot Dogecoin ETF (BWOW) reaches its final trading day on NYSE Arca on October 14, with a cash distribution scheduled for October 22; CoinGabbar reports assets of only about $726,000.

⬇️ ADA — Cardano

Fell to $0.2399 (24H −3.9%) from about $0.2497 24 hours earlier, the biggest drop among the 10 majors and a wider decline than −1.1% the day before. The 7-day change turned negative at −2.6%, from +1.8%; ADA was the only major with a positive 7-day change the day before, and today all 10 majors are negative over seven days. The 30-day gain narrowed from +13.8% to +9.3%, still second behind AVAX. In futures, ADAUSDT had the largest open-interest change over 24 hours at −11.9% (price −3.5%), a long squeeze.

⬇️ AVAX — Avalanche

Fell to $10.41 (24H −3.0%) from about $10.73 24 hours earlier, the second-largest drop after ADA. The 7-day change widened from −1.5% to −5.2%. The 30-day gain narrowed from +33.4% to +30.0%, still the highest among the 10 majors.

📊 Market Overview — Total market cap −0.9% to $2.94T; BTC dips to near $80,000 in US hours before recovering to the $83,000s by Tokyo evening, with every major except BTC, HYPE and XRP lower

From the previous day (October 8) to today (October 9), total market cap shrank −0.9% from $2.96T to $2.94T. BTC rose 0.9% over 24 hours to $83,214 from about $82,488, while ETH fell 1.2% to $2,505.43 from about $2,536.37, so the two diverged. Among the 10 majors, 7 fell (down from 9 the day before) and BTC (+0.9%), HYPE (+0.9%) and XRP (+0.2%) rose. The largest drops were ADA (−3.9%), AVAX (−3.0%), and BNB and DOGE (both −2.5%). BTC dominance rose from 59.30% to 59.74%, ETH dominance fell from 11.09% to 10.94%, and XRP dominance was unchanged at 3.16%. The Fear & Greed Index fell 5 points from 64 to 59, staying in Greed territory but declining for a third straight day (73 on 10/6, 71 on 10/7). 24H volume fell about 53.7% from $419.9B to $194.5B, cooling from the previous day’s surge, and the number of active coins rose from 12,034 to 12,327.

The moves were driven by rates, oil and Fed remarks that overlapped in US hours, together with ETF outflows. According to Bitcoin Magazine, Brent crude rose after renewed tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and Governor Waller said further hikes may be needed. Cryptopolitan noted that 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields hit 24-year highs this week before easing, that St. Louis Fed President Musalem signaled that hikes may be needed, and that October 10 marks exactly one year since the 2025 crash, all as sources of caution. US spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows on both October 7 (−$484.9 million) and October 8 (−$244.1 million), and spot ETH ETFs recorded an eighth straight day of outflows. Liquidations over 24 hours were weighted toward longs ($698.2 million versus $142.3 million for shorts), pointing to a leverage flush during the US-hours drop. According to Galaxy Research, the US government sent 8,428 BTC to Coinbase Prime on Wednesday, October 7, its largest single-day outflow since December 2024 (9,261 BTC, about $770 million, over two days with the 834 BTC moved the day before); Coinbase Prime holds and trades seized assets on behalf of the US Marshals Service, so a deposit alone does not confirm a sale (Cryptopolitan). On the other side, The Block reports that JPMorgan estimates about $50 billion has flowed into crypto so far this year and sees positive flow momentum into Q4 on rising ETF flows and futures positioning. CoinGabbar also relayed Citrini Research’s view that fee-earning platforms such as Coinbase, Robinhood and Circle may fare better than BTC or ETH in tokenized finance, and its warning that “rising volume alone does not lift token prices.” Japan’s Ministry of Finance held the first meeting of its study group on tokenizing government bonds on October 8, with a report planned around January 2027 (Cryptopolitan).

Beyond the 10 majors, extra pick ZEC rose to $1,234.06 (24H +2.1%) from $1,207.12 the day before, the only gainer among the three extra picks, following the SEC filing for a spot Zcash ETF (ticker WINK) by Winklevoss Asset Services; the decision on the NU7 network upgrade is scheduled for October 20. SUI fell to $1.07 (24H −4.1%) and NEAR to $4.88 (24H −4.1%, from $5.12 the day before). On 30-day returns, AVAX (+30.0%), ADA (+9.3%), SOL (+7.6%), BTC (+6.1%) and ETH (+0.8%) remain positive, while DOGE (−5.6%), TRX (−1.6%), BNB (−1.2%) and XRP (−1.1%) are negative, so negative 30-day returns widened from DOGE alone the day before to four coins. All 10 majors are negative over seven days, with DOGE (−9.9%) and ETH (−7.4%) especially weak. QCP Capital’s base case for BTC in Q4 is a $80,000–$90,000 range, with $80,000–$82,000 as a buying zone and plans to reduce exposure near $88,000–$90,000 if ETF inflows do not return; its bear case is a break below $68,000–$70,000 and its bull case above $100,000 (The Block). In futures, among the 10 majors there were 0 leverage build-ups and 7 squeezes (from 1 and 3 the day before); among the top 30 perpetuals, 13 were crowded with longs and 17 saw shorts increase (also 13 and 17 the day before). The top 1,000 Hyperliquid accounts held $2.7 billion in longs against $3.7 billion in shorts, a 43% long ratio (from 42%), and Binance’s BTC long/short account ratio was 1.63, the top-trader ratio 1.53 and the taker buy/sell ratio 1.37 (from 1.85, 1.57 and 0.76). Stablecoin supply was $312.4B, up $857.3 million over 24 hours. The FOMC meeting (October 27–28) concludes 19 days from now, and moves on FOMC days have run about 2.5 times normal over 30-minute windows (across the past 17 meetings). Key dates ahead are the one-year anniversary of the crash on October 10, Evernorth’s (XRPN) Nasdaq debut on October 12, the US CPI release for September and BWOW’s final trading day on October 14, the Zcash NU7 decision on October 20, and the October 27–28 FOMC. An October hike looks unlikely, but expectations of a further hike this year remain, and the focus is whether the CPI result revives the battle around $80,000.

Disclaimer

This report is provided for informational purposes only regarding the cryptocurrency market and does not constitute a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any specific cryptocurrency or investment product.

The data, prices, and change rates shown are as of the time of writing and are not guaranteed to be accurate, complete, or up to date. Actual market prices may differ due to specification changes or delays at the data sources (Binance Public API, CoinPaprika, etc.).

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you may lose some or all of your invested principal. Please make investment decisions at your own judgment and responsibility. We accept no liability for any actions or trades taken as a result of this report's content.

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